How 74-year-old Trump’s risk of hospitalization is five times greater than a someone who contracts COVID in their 20s and he has a 90 times greater risk of death, according to CDC
- Donald Trump and his wife Melania both tested positive for coronavirus on Thursday night, just hours after the president’s top aide Hope Hicks
The President and Hicks have travelled together on Air Force One multiple times over the last week, including to attend the disastrous opening presidential debate against Joe Biden on Tuesday night.
But while Hicks at 31-years-old is considered a low risk patient, at 74 years of age, Trump faces a much higher chance of being hospitalized with the virus, and falling victim to its harshest symptoms.
According to CDC statistics, patients between the ages of 65-74 are five times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 than someone aged 18 to 29.
Patients in the elder category are also 90 times more likely to die in comparison to their younger counterparts.
At 74 years of age, Trump faces a much higher chance of being hospitalized with the virus, and falling victim to its harshest symptoms.
For every 1,000 people in their mid-seventies or older who are infected by COVID-19, around 116 will die.
Trends in coronavirus deaths have been clear since early in the pandemic, with studies determining that age is by far the strongest predictor of an infected person’s risk of dying — a metric known as the infection fatality ratio (IFR), which is the proportion of people infected with the virus, including those who didn’t get tested or show symptoms, who will die as a result.
‘COVID-19 is not just hazardous for elderly people, it is extremely dangerous for people in their mid-fifties, sixties and seventies,’ Andrew Levin, an economist at Dartmouth College told Nature.com.
Levin predicted that getting COVID-19 is more than 50 times more likely to be fatal for a 60-year-old than driving a car.
But Henrik Salje, an infectious-disease epidemiologist at the University of Cambridge, UK, said ‘age cannot explain everything’, with gender also said to be a strong risk factor, with men twice more likely to die from the virus than women.
Salje’s conclusions are supported by figures from the World Health Organization and Chinese scientists have revealed that 1.7 percent of women who catch the virus will die compared to 2.8 percent of men, even though neither sex is more likely to catch it.